Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 12.053304 13.529292 15.217998 17.317052 19.890896 22.991718 27.086585
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 9.904334 11.609531 13.701100 16.519526 20.325803 25.464186 33.274182
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.813387 10.646088 13.007834 16.387085 21.309862 28.620609 41.255583
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.023898 9.912806 12.440101 16.231088 22.108345 31.590560 50.081056
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.464796 9.398183 12.069148 16.245147 23.096729 35.063007 61.496850
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.065469 9.048414 11.869044 16.453472 24.399578 39.443185 77.577696
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.554750 8.488281 11.292071 15.969589 24.390931 41.290167 88.973842
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.230828 8.167209 11.035118 15.961180 25.224519 45.148289 109.658577
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.838001 7.713001 10.528805 15.460311 25.013130 46.591326 124.173715
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.427090 7.205048 9.898109 14.672216 24.095548 46.069039 130.951919
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.089514 6.788877 9.384515 14.041118 23.405835 45.958015 139.968585
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.210960 7.078962 10.026738 15.571527 27.607012 60.901771 262.934381
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.132887 7.066140 10.190978 16.282900 30.325113 74.035078 472.022802
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.823710 6.666655 9.666883 15.579429 29.463970 74.369027 552.600874
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.635805 6.451631 9.445452 15.460782 30.073263 80.863112 843.069314
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.460788 6.246971 9.225888 15.318247 30.592754 87.541425 1388.307805
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.322995 6.095326 9.088468 15.331149 31.551111 97.258062 3083.076488
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.220459 5.995972 9.036897 15.521842 33.083651 111.854410 17481.630739
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.040866 5.758025 8.715444 15.078750 32.604635 114.701870 93909.991854
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.930192 5.631582 8.592494 15.071045 33.499322 127.598373 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.770160 5.413910 8.286078 14.611750 32.836467 129.252454 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.586165 5.148876 7.878629 13.887733 31.183971 122.444977 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.428972 4.925262 7.541062 13.306740 29.944228 118.352863 NaN